Case studies highlight how markets behaved in specific scenarios, what drove price changes, and what traders learned. Upcoming articles will cover notable events, resolution quirks, and practical lessons for interpreting market signals under pressure.
Knowledge Base
Knowledge Base
The definitive knowledge base for the prediction market ecosystem. A curated collection of guides and insights for everyone from beginners to market veterans.
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Knowledge Base
Case Studies
Examples of market behavior, outcomes, and lessons learned.
Articles
Iowa Electronic Markets
Early academic markets that showed small-stake forecasting can work.
Hollywood Stock Exchange
Play-money entertainment markets that still produced notable signals.
InTrade
An early real-money platform that popularized election odds before shutting down.
Policy Analysis Market Controversy
A proposed market that failed due to public backlash over sensitive topics.
Google’s Internal Prediction Market
An internal market experiment to surface execution risk inside a company.